Texas Tech — 2026 schedule & results record 6-1 · model's picks 6-1 so far
Proj rating 23.9 · SOS -2.5 · Mean wins 10.9 · Picked 12-0 · Vegas 10.5
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Line / ATS | Model | Win prob | Pick | My bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sat 09/05 | Abilene Christian | home | W 33–10 | -45 ✗ | +53.9 | 100% | W ✓ | |
| 2 | Sat 09/12 | Oregon State | away | W 35–24 | -25.5 ✗ | +25.7 | 94% | W ✓ | |
| 3 | Fri 09/18 | Houston | home | W 28–26 | -8 ✗ | +18.3 | 86% | W ✓ |
Houston +14 · WIN +45 |
| 4 | Sat 09/26 | Sam Houston | home | W 49–14 | -34.5 ✓ | +44.2 | 100% | W ✓ | |
| 5 | Sat 10/03 | Colorado | away | W 29–7 | -13.5 ✓ | +24.6 | 92% | W ✓ |
Texas Tech -13.5 · WIN +27 |
| 7 | Sat 10/17 | Arizona State | home | W 53–25 | -16 ✓ | +21.8 | 89% | W ✓ |
Texas Tech -14 · WIN +27 Texas Tech -16 · WIN +27 |
| 8 | Sat 10/24 | Cincinnati | away | L 24–37 | -10.75 ✗ | +17.8 | 85% | W ✗ | |
| 9 | Sat 10/31 | Arizona | home | — | -3.5 | +17.6 | 85% | W | |
| 10 | Sat 11/07 | West Virginia | home | — | — | +28.7 | 95% | W | |
| 11 | Sat 11/14 | Oklahoma State | away | — | -15.5 | +24.9 | 93% | W | |
| 12 | Sat 11/21 | Baylor | away | — | — | +16.2 | 83% | W | |
| 13 | Thu 11/26 | TCU | home | — | -16.5 | +19.9 | 88% | W |
Picked counts every game the model favors as a win. Mean wins is the average over 10,000 simulated seasons — a team favored 60/40 in five games wins about three of them, not five, which is why Picked runs higher than Mean wins for good teams (and lower for bad ones). Compare Mean wins to Vegas; use this page to see where the wins come from.